UFC on Fuel TV – Ellenberger vs Sanchez

The UFC will be making their debut on Fuel TV this Wednesday. We’re posting our picks a bit later than usual, but that’s because the event is in the middle of the week. The main card looks solid for UFC on Fuel 1 and we’ve got picks for each pick. It isn’t often that UFC bettors get the chance to win some money on Wednesdays, but that’s what we’re going to try and do this week.

UFC on Fuel 1 Main Event Odds & Predictions

Jake Ellenberger -340 vs. Diego Sanchez +280

Jake Ellenberger (26-5) is a huge favourite in this fight, but it’s hard to bet against him right now. Ellenberger made his UFC debut in 2009 and lost by split decision against Carlos Condit. Since that loss Ellenberger has picked up 5 straight wins with 4 of those wins coming by the way of TKO/KO. Diego Sanchez (23-4) is on a 2-fight win streak, but he’s coming back into the cage after breaking his hand and having to miss almost a year. I like Ellenberger to impose his will in the stand-up game and stuff Diego’s takedowns.

UFC on Fuel 1 Main Card Odds & Picks

Dave Herman -145 vs. Stefan Struve +125

This is a fight that I’m looking forward to this week at UFC on Fuel 1. Dave Herman (21-2) and Stefan Struve (22-5) both have very impressive records and are excellent finishers. I definitely think this fight ends by stoppage and I’m going to be betting on Herman to pull off the victory over Struve. Herman has 15 TKO/KO wins while Struve has 15 submission wins and this fight will come down to what fighter can execute their game plan. I haven’t seen much of Herman, but Struve has been inconsistent lately.

Stipe Miocic -400 vs. Phillip De Fries +325

Two undefeated fighters will be meeting on the main card this week. Stipe Miocic (7-0) and Phillip De Fries (8-0) both have 1 victory in the UFC and will be putting their undefeated MMA records on the line. Miocic has a lot more hype coming into this fight and he has a ton of power to back that hype up. However, De Fries has 7 submission victories out of his 8 career wins. Miocic should win the fight, but he needs to make sure that he doesn’t get submitted by De Fries.

Ronny Markes -125 vs. Aaron Simpson +105

Ronny Markes (12-1) is on a 5 fight win streak and will be fighting Aaron Simpson (11-2). Simpson lost 2 fights in 2010, but has since picked up 3 straight wins. Simpson has the edge in wrestling in this fight and if he takes the fight to the ground he should win the fight by decision. Markes is a powerful striker and can also submit fighters, but Simpson is going to be a tough match-up because of his excellent wrestling. I’ll take the small underdog with the edge in the wrestling department in this fight.

T.J. Dillashaw -275 vs. Walel Watson +235

This fight should be closer than the odds indicate and I’ll take a shot on Walel Watson (9-3) against T.J. Dillashaw (4-1). Dillashaw started off his career 4-0, but was knocked out by John Dodson in the 1st round. Watson lost his last fight against Yves Jabouin, but it was a very close split decision loss. Watson has a huge reach advantage in this fight and he’ll need to use it in this fight. Dillashaw will look to take the fight to the ground, but Watson is capable of submitting Dillashaw from his back.

UFC on Fuel 1 Preliminary Card Odds & Predictions

  • Buddy Roberts -135 vs. Sean Loeffler -105
  • Justin Salas -150 vs. Anton Kuivanen +110
  • Jonathan Brookins -190 vs. Vagner Rocha +150
  • Ivan Menjivar -280 vs. John Albert +200
  • Bernardo Magalhaes -155 vs. Tim Means +115

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